Conference program

Preliminary Program of the conference "Climate Change and Security at the Crossroads - Pathways to Conflict or Cooperation?"

 

Thursday, June 20, 2013

09:00 - 09:15   Introduction (Auditorium B1-006)
Moderators: Jürgen Scheffran (University of Hamburg, Germany) & Christian Webersik (University of Agder, Norway) 

            Sigbjørn R. Sødal (Dean of the Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Agder, Norway):
            Welcome

 

09:15- 10:00   Keynote 1 (Auditorium B1-006)
            David Zhang (University of Hong Kong, China): 
            Scaling climate, scaling wars

  

10:00   Coffee break

 

10:30 - 12:00   Session 1 (Auditorium B1-006)
A.        Disasters
Moderator: Jasmin Kominek (University of Hamburg, Germany)

1.         Hanne Seter (Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway):
            Measures matter? Environmental shocks and violent conflict

2.         Ayesha S. Siddiqi (King's College London, United Kingdom): 
            Disaster Citizenship: A new tool to counter radicalisation in Pakistan?

3.         Hanne Jørstad (University of Agder, Norway):
            The Drying of Lake Chilwa: Climate Change Adaptation and its Limitations in Malawi

4.         Ilan Kelman (Center for International Climate and Environmental Research Oslo, Norway) & J.C. Gaillard (University of Auckland, New Zealand):
            Linking disasters and climate change in the context of security

  

12:00 – 13:15   Lunch

 

13:15 – 14:45   Session 2 (Auditorium B1-006)
B.        Water & Food
Moderator: P. Michael Link (University of Hamburg, Germany)

1.         Mekonnen Daba Habtemariam (Arbaminch University, Ethiopia):
            Evaluating Potential Impact of Climate Change on Hydro-Meteorological Variables in Upper Blue Nile Basin (a Case Study Finchaa Basin)

2.         Beth Njeri Njiru (Kenyatta University, Kenya):
            Water insecurity and sliding livelihood systems among the Pastoral Communities of Kenya

3.         Janpeter Schilling (Colgate University, USA):
            On Fights, Food and Fragility: Climate Change and Conflict in Northwestern Kenya

4.         Todd G. Smith (University of Texas Austin, USA):
            Precipitation, Prices and Protest: Food Prices as a Causal Mechanism between Rainfall Deviations and Social Unrest in Africa

 

14:45   Coffee break

 

15:15 – 16:45   Session 3 (Auditorium B1-006)
C.        Migration
Moderator: April Humble (Climate Service Center Hamburg, Germany) 

1.         Qing Pei (University of Hong Kong, China):
            Climate Change and Migration in China during Past Two Millennia

2.         María del Pilar Ramírez Gröbli (University of St. Gallen, Switzerland):
            Trends in Conflict Management: internal migration and palm oil industry, a case study of Colombia

3.         Ramesh Ghimire (University of Georgia, USA):
            Flood-induced migration and civil conflict

4.         Úrsula Oswald Spring (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico): 
            Climate change, migration and security from a local view

    

16:45   Short break

 

17:00 – 17:45   Keynote 2 (Auditorium B1-006) 
            Halvard Buhaug (PRIO Oslo, Norway): 
            Food Insecurity and Violent Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa 

 

18:00 - 19:00   Evening event: panel discussion (Auditorium A7-001)
Conflict or cooperation on climate change?
Moderator: Christian Webersik (University of Agder, Norway)
Panel members:
* Michael Brzoska (University of Hamburg, Germany)
* Joshua Busby (University of Texas Austin, USA)
* Ilan Kelman (Center for International Climate and Environmental Research Oslo, Norway)
* Úrsula Oswald Spring (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico)

  

20:00   Conference dinner at Restaurant Sjøhuset

 

 

Friday, June 21, 2013

9:00 - 09:45   Keynote 3 (Auditorium B1-006) 
          Jürgen Scheffran (University of Hamburg, Germany): 
          Integrative Concepts of Climate-Security Interaction 

 

09:45   Coffee break

 

10:00 – 11:30   Session 4 (Auditorium B1-006)
D.        Integration
Moderator: Michael Brzoska (University of Hamburg, Germany)

1.         Carolina Navarrete Frías (International Center for Tropical Agriculture, Colombia):
            Amazonia - The Security Agenda (Responding to Imminent Threats)

2.         Joshua Busby (University of Texas Austin, USA):
            Hot Spots: Climate Change and Africa’s Strategic Significance

3.         Tobias Ide (University of Hamburg, Germany):
            Climate Change and Violent Conflict: Where are the Most Vulnerable Places in East Africa?

4.         Alan J. Kuperman (University of Texas Austin, USA):
            Climate, Conflict, and Constitutional Design in Africa

 

11:30 – 11:45   Survey 1 (Auditorium B1-006)
E.        Survey on climate change and security issues
Moderators: Jasmin Kominek & P. Michael Link (University of Hamburg, Germany)

 

11:45 – 13:00   Lunch

 

13:00 – 14:30   Session 5 (Auditorium B1-006)
D.        Integration
Moderator: Janpeter Schilling (Colgate University, USA)

1.         Michael Brzoska (University of Hamburg, Germany):
            Security sector responses to climate change

2.         Nina von Uexkull (Uppsala University, Sweden):
            Who gains, who suffers, who fights? Resource abundance, scarcity and communal conflict

3.         Janani Vivekananda (International Alert, United Kingdom):
            Climate Vulnerability in Fragile and Conflict-Affected Societies

4.         Jose J. Gonzalez (University of Agder, Norway): 
            Towards a paradigm shift in emergency preparedness and management?

 

14:30   Coffee break

 

15:00 – 15:15   Survey 2 (Auditorium B1-006)
E.        Results of Survey
Moderators: Jasmin Kominek & P. Michael Link (University of Hamburg, Germany)

 

15:15 – 15:45   Concluding session / networking (Auditorium B1-006)
Moderators: Jürgen Scheffran (University of Hamburg, Germany) & Christian Webersik (University of Agder, Norway)

 

A complete set of all abstracts will be available here soon.